Our stock options strategies have a new product to consider: mini options. These options have a deliverable 10 shares of underlying security instead of the traditional 100 shares. The options symbol for these minis begin with the security ticker followed by the number 7:

• AAPL7
• AMZN7
• GOOG7
• GLD7
• SPY7

The 5 securities above are the only ones currently available with mini options although many more will follow. These new products allow average retail investors to sell covered call options without having to layout huge sums of money to purchase the underlying shares. For example, to sell 1 covered call option for Apple Computer would require us to invest over $50,000 to enter the long stock position. With minis that investment would be reduced to $5,000.

My initial concern, as with the introduction of all new products, is the liquidity of trading and how that impacts the bid-ask spreads. My second, specifically with minis, is the question of commissions. Will the brokerages reduce commissions since the per share amount would be 10x greater if they didn’t…they didn’t. In today’s article I will use Apple Computer to demonstrate the impact that lower liquidity, higher bid-ask spreads and higher per share commissions have on our annualized returns. At the time that I am writing this article AAPL was trading @ $545.78 and the March, 2014 monthly contracts were 5 weeks away from expiration. Here is the options chain for the traditional monthly contract with 100 shares deliverable:

 

Please note for the near-the-money $545 strike:

• High open interest of 3,526 contracts
• Tight bid-ask spread of $0.05 ($14.25 – $14.30)
• Premium generated from sale of a covered call is $14.25 per share

Next, let’s take off our shoes and socks and do some math per contract:

• ROO (before commissions) = $1425/$54,478 = 2.62%, 5-week return
• ROO (after a $10 commission) = $1415/$54,478 = 2.60%, 5-week return, 26% annualized
• Commission resulted in a return reduction of 0.02%

***ROO = initial return on option or initial profit

Next, let’s have a look at the options chain for the minis, also for March, 2014 expiration with 10 shares deliverable:

 

Please note for the near-the-money $545 strike:

• Significantly lower  open interest of 246 contracts
• Much wider bid-ask spread of $1.00 ($13.70 – $14.70)
• Premium generated from sale of a covered call is $13.70 per share, $0.55 less than the traditional option

Next, let’s calculate:

• ROO (before commissions) = $137/$5447.80= 2.51%, 5-week return
• ROO (after a $10 commission) = $127/$5447.80 = 2.33%, 5-week return, 23.3% annualized
• Commission resulted in a return reduction of 0.18%

Annualized difference in returns:

• Traditional: 26%
• Minis: 23.3%
• Traditionals outperform minis by 2.7%

AMZN stats:

I then ran the same process using AMZN as the underlying when the stock was trading @ $357.20 and looking at the $360 strike for both the traditional and mini options. The result was even more significant with the traditionals out-performing the minis by an annualized rate of 4.7%

Conclusion:

Using the mini options at the current time will allow us to take positions in the 5 securities with a much lower cash investment. However, the returns will suffer because of the impact of commissions and wider bid-ask spreads due to lower option liquidity. I do believe that this liquidity will increase as time goes by, thereby decreasing bid-ask spreads and perhaps brokerages will lower commissions for these products. In the interim, choosing other underlying securities that will generate higher returns may be the prudent approach.

Live seminars coming up in March:

NEW YORK

Long Island Stock Traders Investment Group

Monday, March 10^th

6:45 PM – 9:30 PM

Plainview Old Bethpage Library

 

999 Old Country Rd, Plainview, NY

FLORIDA

Delray: March 18, 2014

Fort Lauderdale: March 19, 2014

http://www.aaii.com/localchapters/pdfs/Southeast%20Florida%20140318.pdf

 

Webinar in March:

E-Money Show webinar

March 25th DATE CHANGE TO APRIL 22nd.

3:20 – 4:20 PM ET

Link to register will be posted on this site once we receive it from The Money Show

 

Market tone:

Although I study the economic reports each week and summarize them for you in these blog articles, I am going to partially ignore the negative tone to this past week’s series of reports. That is because many were adversely impacted by the severe weather conditions which I consider an aberration:

• The minutes from last month’s Fed meeting reiterated that the Fed would not raise short-term interest rates until unemployment fell far below 6.5% as long as inflation remains below 2.0%
• The Conference Board’s index of leading economic indicators (a composite index of ten economic indicators that typically lead overall economic activity. The index includes indicators such as housing permits, new orders for consumer goods, consumer expectations, and performance of the S&P 500 Index) rose by 0.3% in January due to strength in the financial sector and declining jobless claims. This continues to reflect an economy expanding at a moderate pace
• The Producer Price Index (PPI- a measure of what businesses receive for goods and services) rose by 0.2% in January, more than the 0.1% expected, due to weather-related increases in natural gas. This was 1.2% more than a year ago
• The Consumer Price Index (CPI- a widely followed indicator of inflation. The CPI is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market basket of consumer goods and services. The “core” CPI excludes food and energy prices, which account for roughly one-quarter of the broad CPI and tend to fluctuate widely, providing a truer reflection of inflationary trends) rose by 0.1% in January (as expected) due to higher energy costs
• Consumer inflation increased by 1.6% year-over-year
• New home construction declined by 16.0% in January, the largest drop since February, 2011
• Housing starts are down 2.0% from a year ago
• Housing permits dipped by 5.4% in January
• The sale of single-family homes declined by 5.1% in January, the lowest level in the past 18 months
• Inventory levels rose by 2.2% in January to 4.9 months of supply
• The median price of existing homes rose to $188,900 in January up 10.4% from a year ago

For the week, the S&P 500 declined by 0.1%.

Summary:

IBD: Confirmed uptrend

BCI: Cautiously bullish, favoring out-of–the-money strikes 3-to-2

My best to all,

Alan ([email protected])

www.thebluecollarinvestor.com