Executing our stock and call option trades is fast and efficient. But what actually goes on behind the scenes after we enter market or limit orders?
Once we type our order to the online discount broker there are a series of events that take place terminating in the successful execution of the trade. Here’s how it works:
1- We place our trade order with our online discount broker.
2- The broker then utilizes an electronic routing system to send the order to a market maker like Citi, UBS and others.
3- The market maker pays our discount broker a fee for this market flow, about $0.01 or $0.10 for the 100 shares.
4- The actual shares can come from one of several sources:
- Internalization– from the market makers own inventory
- The major exchanges like the NYSE and Nasdaq
- Dark Pools like Liquidnet- A dark pool (or dark pool of liquidity) is a private electronic transaction network, typically maintained by major banks and securities companies, where stocks are bought and sold by clients of those companies. Because the matching of buyer and seller is done entirely within the control of the bank, the bid, offer and sale prices are not published to exchanges (such as the NYSE). Dark pool operators have the ability to route orders either to an exchange or to their own private network, depending on availability, pricing and client preference. Ironically, before computers took over the floor of the NYSE, there was a popular saying relating to dark pools: The NYSE was the biggest and most efficient dark pool the markets have ever seen or will see, i.e. when you gave your order to a broker it was essentially dark because he wouldn’t just go into the crowd and announce “a million shares of BCI at the market” because the market would move on him…he kept a portion of the order details (i.e. size) in his back pocket and “worked” the order to get the best price or execution. Real people on floor, not computers, are still significant players for executing large blocks and especially for setting the opening prices…the majority of NYSE order flow comes at open and close because the prices are most accurate.
- *Remain short the stock and look to buy it back at a lower price. This is where they make their money.
Market Makers Profit- The Math:
Let’s say the Designated Market Maker (DMM) sells us a stock short @ $30.10 and buys it a few seconds later for $30.09 for a profit of $.01 per share or $1.00 for 100 shares. Since the DMM paid our online discount broker $0.10 for market flow and garnered $1 in profit, that’s a $0.90 profit for the transaction. It may seem like a mere bag of shells on first blush but do this millions of times per day and it becomes an extremely lucrative occupation.
My day on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange:
I was fortunate to receive an invitation to tour the floor of the NYSE in 2010 and speak with some of the market makers. Here I am with my son Craig mingling with the one percenters:
On the floor of the NYSE
Dark pools update:
Speaking of dark pools, NYSE Euronext and Nasdq OMX Group, Inc. the largest owners of American stock exchanges are pressuring Congress to alter legislation that is causing stock orders to leave public venues in favor of broker-run markets like dark pools and brokers themselves. About one third of US equity volume has traded away from exchanges this year while dark pools have accounted for 13.6% of US equity volume this past April. The argument against dark pools are:
- Too much fragmentation and “darkness” can cause investors to lose confidence and leave the markets
- Exchanges are at a disadvantage since they must publish their rules and are required to seek SEC approval for alterations whereas dark pools are not
- Dark pools can allow users to participate with or avoid certain types of participants whereas exchanges cannot
- Excessive fragmentation and increased need for technology can create more risk as seen in the “flash crash” on May 6, 2010
Dark pools and brokers will argue that the increase in market liquidity and the positive impact of competition are benefits for all those who participate in market activities. Contrary to the way things transpired in the past, the SEC appears to be on top of these rapidly-changing market platforms.
Market tone:
A plan drafted to aid eurozone banks resulted in a strong finish to the week and quarter. Economic reports continue to imply a sluggish economic recovery:
- Consumer confidence in June (62) declined for the 5th time in the past 6 months
- Real GDP growth for the 1st quarter, 2012 came in at an annualized rate of 1.9% compared to 3% for the 4th quarter, 2011
- Analysts are projecting an increase in consumer spending due to falling prices at the gas pumps
- Sales of new single-family homes rose by 369,000 in May compared to the 346,000 expected. This was the strongest increase in two years
- Housing inventory is at its lowest point since before the crash in 2008
- Durable goods orders in May came in at a strong +1.1% while 0.4% was expected
For the week, the S&P 500 rose by 2% for a year-to-date return of 9.5% including dividends.
A 6-month comparison chart of the 3 major indexes plus the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) shows the market generally uptrending for the year so far but in a volatile manner:
6-month comparison chart for 2012
I am looking forward to the long-term ‘party” we will all have if and when Eurozone concerns and housing issues continue to improve and the jobs numbers turn positive. It could happen!
Summary:
IBD: Confirmed uptrend
BCI: Cautiously bullish selling predominantly in-the-money strikes.
My best to all,
Alan ([email protected])
Alan,
I’m, reading (and re-reading) chapter 4 of your latest book on technical analysis. One thing confuses me. How can the MACD be negative and the histogram positive? One is sending a negative signal, the other positive? Thanks for any help to clear this up.
Marc
Marc,
As shown in the chart below, a negative MACD means that the 26-day EMA is above the 12-d EMA and therefore below zero (black line). However, you will note that this line is above the trigger (9-d EMA which is its moving average) and therefore displaying positive momentum. Since the MACD histogram gives us a quicker signal than the MACD itself, I place more emphasis on it. MACD histogram should be evaluated along with other technical signals before making an investment determination.
Alan
Premium Members,
The Weekly Report for 06-29-12 has been uploaded to the Premium Member website and is available for download.
Best,
Barry and The BCI Team
Alan,
With three weeks left until expiration what are your goals if you entered a position Monday for the July options? Can you give an example from this weeks list that meets that goal (I know its not a recommendation).
Thanks a lot.
Fran
Fran,
With 3 weeks remaining in a contract cycle, I do lower my monthly goal from 2-4%. For ITM and OTM strikes, I look to generate 1-2%, preferably closer to 2%. For ATM strikes I look for 2-3%. I randomly selected two stocks from this week’s watch list and placed them in the calculator for ITM strikes to show that these results are achievable. Click on the image to enlarge and use the back arrow to return to this blog.
Alan
Using the iPad with The Blue Collar Investor System…
There have been some private emails coming to us regarding the use of Tablets (both iPad and Android) with the BCI system. The short answer is yes, you can use them effectively with the system. Here are the key details…
Accessing the Blog:
– You can use the built-in browser, Safari, to access the website
(www.thebluecollarinvestor.com)
Accessing the Premium Report and ETF Report:
– You can use Safari to access the BCI website.
– Then sign into the Member’s Area.
– Download the current report.
– You will need a PDF reading app in order to display the Weekly
Report.
– There are a number of free PDF reading apps in the iTunes Store.
– Check out the free Adobe PDF Reader app.
Using the “Ellman Calculator”:
– You can use Safari to access the BCI website..
– Download the “Basic Ellman Calculator”.
– You will need to buy an app that allows you to use spreadsheets on
the iPad.
– Check out:
– Apple’s own tool, “Numbers”
– “QuickOffice Pro HD”
– “Documents To Go Premium” or “Documents To Go Office Suite”
– There are some free spreadsheets apps but I have not had any
experience using them, so I don’t know how well they maintain
the formatting of Excel (.xls or.xlsx) spreadsheets.
– I personally use “QuickOffice Pro HD” but haven’t tried to use it
with the Ellman Calculator. I expect that it should work without
any problems.
So, net/net, you can use all of the features that are available in The Blue Collar Investor system. You may have try a few different spreadsheet apps until you find one that you like.
The same comments apply to the newer Android based tablets as well. If your eyes are better than mine, the above tools should work with the iPhone and Android smart Phones. I download the Weekly Report to my iPhone and always have the current copy with me.
Hope this helps…
Barry and The BCI Team
I checked out “QuickOffice Pro HD” this morning on my iPad and it work perfectly with the Ellman Camculator. So, those of you who want to use your iPad or Android Tablet with the BCI system…you’re good to go!
Best,
Barry
CSTR:
One of our new premium members suggested CSTR as a stock on our current list that returns a good 3-week return for the in-the-money strike. Below is a screenshot of the calculations for both the in-the-money and out-of-the-money strikes. The red arrows highlight initial option return (ROO), downside protection of ROO (ITM) and upside potentialo (OTM). Click on image to enlarge and use the back arrow to return to this blog.
Alan
Alan,
On June 18th I bought 200 shares of sxci for 98.69 and sold the july 100s for 3.20. Today the stock is at 103.55. Is there any exit strategy I should consider at this time? thank you.
Phil
Phil,
At this point your trade has reached its maximum profit of 4.6% for the month as long as the price remains above $100. We look for the time value to approach zero to close prior to expiration Friday. At this point the $100 call still has significant time value so I take no action in cases like this. If the price continues higher that may change as the deeper in the money the strike, the lower the time value.
Alan
Yahoo Finance:
It looks like Yahoo Finance is having a bad day…shame on them! I’ve had several emails today from members asking about multiple quotes for the same stock, strike and month (LPSN, ALGN for example). Sometimes an options chain will show multiple strikes in the same month when there has been a contract adjustment for a merger, acquisition, split etc. That appears NOT to be the case with these two. Here is another FREE site you may want to bookmark for options quotes:
http://www.optionseducation.org/quotes.html?quote=Quotes
Type in ticker in upper right and hit “quote”.
That should clear it up.
Alan
Alan,
I’m still trying to get a handle on this Mid Contract Strategy. I bought CSTR back in May for $61.59 and sold the JUN 60 Call for @2.90. On expiration Friday I rolled out to the July 60 Call for $4.50. Today I’m looking at CSTR hovering around $70 share. Even though this stock has run up recently, the chart and fundamentals still look good so I’m holding back from just unwinding and looking for another stock. I’m plugging the numbers into the “what now” tab. But, it looks like I would be better off waiting until expiration Friday to roll out again and maybe roll out and up.
I’m assuming we mainly look for a mid contract unwind to free up cash. I know this may not be the case with everyone, but if we have cash sitting in our account it doesn’t seem like you need to look for a mid contract unwind.
Dave,
First let me congratulate you on a series of outstanding trades.
If you unwind now, your profit will be > 9% for the 6-week time frame. Now the key to using the mid-contract unwind exit strategy has to do with the value of the TIME component of the premium. The deeper in-the-money the strike moves, the lower the time value. In this case the strike is $10 in-the-money. Viewing the options chain below, we see the “ask” of the $60 call is $10.60. I’d try to negotiate that down to $10.55 but let’s say we pay $10.60. The intrinsic value is $10.46, leaving only $0.14 of time value, $0.05 less if we are sucessful negotiators. That represents about one fifth of 1% of our 9% profit. Since the profit in the CSTR “deal” cannot increase, we can close that position and use the cash in another position (see pages 264-271 of “Encyclopedia…”).
This isn’t a matter of “needing” more cash but rather increasing the “velocity” of our money. If you decide to do nothing until expiration, you will have a 9%, 2-month profit with huge protection at this time. That route is okay also as long as you are making an informed decision.
Keep up the great work!
Click on image to enlarge and use the back arrow to return to this blog.
Alan
My interview on The Business Authors Show is being broadcast. To listen to it simply go to:
http://www.TheBusinessAuthorsShow.com
Happy holiday to one and all!
Alan and the BCI team
Premium members: 2 new reports now available:
This week’s 6-page report of top-performing ETFs and analysis of ALL Select Sector Components has been uploaded to your premium site. We have also uploaded the 3rd quarter High Dividend Yield Stocks with LEAPS report located in that same area.
For your convenience, here is the link to login to the premium site:
http://www.thebluecollarinvestor.com/member/login.php
Not a premium member? Check out this link:
http://www.thebluecollarinvestor.com/membership.shtml
Alan and the BCI team
Alan,
In one of your videos you talk of negotiating a higher bid price. Can you explain? Is it in your new book which I just ordered?
Thank you for your help.
Jorge
Jorge,
When the bid-ask spread is $0.15 or more, there are opportunities to “negotiate” a higher bid-sell price than the one published. This has to do with the “Exchange Act Rule 11QAc 1-4” also called the “Show or fill Rule”. I place a limit order slightly below the mid-point of the spread and will oftentimes generate a higher premium. For details of this strategy see pages 223-227 of “Encyclopedia for Covered Call Writing”.
Alan